Friday, July 30, 2010
The speculation as to what is causing SUA (sudden unintended acceleration) in Toyota Priuses continues. The newest theory... cosmic rays from outer space. While that sounds unbelievable, it's not according to various physicists and specialists in cosmic radiation. Another amusing theory of the SUA is simple driver error. Drivers incorrectly slammed down on the gas instead of the brakes.
Sunday, March 9, 2008
Apparently Boeing lost a bid for a government contract building booms for the United States Air Force. A boom being an airplane that refuels other planes (such as fighter jets) in mid-air. The whole affair created an uproar because the contract instead went to Northrop Grumman, a company under the European Aeronautic Defense and Space Company. Apparently they offered the Air Force a better product. Boeing seemingly didn't realize they were actually competing for the contract, they thought that had it just because they were an American based company. But now they are upset and are calling out the Federal government. Politicians might rally behind this story to make a political point. I hope not though because there seems to be nothing wrong with this decision made by the Air Force. They simply operated by the rules of a global economic marketplace and purchased the best product. Claims of US job losses due to this are overstated. Large over-riding economic issue are far more relevant to the US at this point. Those concerned with jobs in the US should look at the larger picture and look for policies that will make this economy strong again.
Thursday, February 7, 2008
It's not terrorism, nuclear proliferation, or even global climate change, it's the availability of energy. The increase in the standard of living over the past century is entirely proportional to our use of energy, as is the growth of population. And we are running out of our main energy source!! This resource is, of course, oil. Experts who study oil production place the date at which oil will peak at 2010, just two years from now. This is the date when the supply of oil can no longer meet the world's demand. What does this mean? More than anything it means economic shock. Our entire way of life is built upon the foundation of oil. As the price of oil continually increases so will the price of everything else, particularly anything that uses oil in production or shipping. Drastic changes in the price of oil have drastic effects on the US economy, the 1970's the most notable example of this. But the future will be worse. Other countries realize this problem as well. China's demand for oil is growing faster than any nation, as its economy is growing at over 10% a year. As a result China has attempted to buy as many oil fields around the world as it can and has been expanding its navy to secure "sea lanes" in a future where they decide not sell the oil they need on the world market. As people living at this time in history, we must realize that we are in for difficult times. The good news is that we can solve this problem. The answer is clean, renewable energy. But we don't have forever. We can delay the switch as we have before, by increasing the efficiency in our use of oil (the overall increases in technological efficiency, a most recent example being hybrid vehicles), but we must start switching. The sooner we start the better chance we have and the smoother the transition will be. This is a transition that MUST occur if we want to mantain any resemblance of our current way of life. A failure in making this transition will result in disaster, and possibly an early demise for a great number of the over six billion people living on this planet.
Sunday, January 27, 2008
The pessimists will say that we are headed for one, and that it is not the result of the bust of the housing market but more an endemic problem with our overall economic system. Mostly that it has allowed financial interests to be in control, unchecked and unregulated for too long. Is that really a surprise? Those with money, knowledge, and the will to move the world in a direction favorable to their interests and philosophies will easily win. The danger is that we are doomed to repeat our past mistakes, that people living today are too far removed from the last great financial crisis. That we have forgotten the lessons we were supposed to have learned. What worries me is to hear the managing director of the International Monetary Fund and the head of the Federal Reserve speak of possibly using Keynesian economic policies, a school of thought generally rejected by such high ranking financial experts. They must have a terrible outlook to recommend, what is to them no doubt, desperate initiatives. Luckily we are not without hope, a smarter Federal Reserve will have no fear of using expansionary monetary policies, and policy makers in governments all over the world have options. The best may be to dust off their old textbooks on Keynesian economic philosophy, and work towards strengthening their own spending bases, to make sure developed countries each have a strong middle class with a will and an ability to participate in a global economy.
Thursday, January 17, 2008
As economists claim the US is headed for recession, Congressmen in Washington argue about the proper role of government in preventing it. Democrats offer a plan to put money in middle and low income earners hands to boost consumer spending temporarily. Republicans want to make Bush's high income earners tax cuts permanent. The usually conservative leaning Federal Reserve seems to side with Democrats in this instance. I should point out that by keeping Bush's tax cuts, the US budget deficit would likely worsen - meaning more Treasury Bonds with higher interest rates leading to higher interest rates overall that will hurt consumers and homeowners and only worsen the future economy. Why do these supply-siders insist on their nonsense when even the Fed recognizes the weakness is on the demand side?